Twelve thousand simulated tournaments, recomputed live after every kick of the ball.
The single most likely champion, updated the moment a result lands. Twelve thousand simulated tournaments inform each percentage.
"Football is a low-scoring game, so a single goal can swing a result. We model that randomness directly."
Every nation's chance at each stage. Switch the metric to see who survives the group, who reaches the quarters, and who the market actually pays out on.
Pick a match from the list to see win, draw and loss probabilities and the most likely scoreline. Live fixtures rise to the top.
Q qualifies direct · 3rd best third place · percentages denote the chance of reaching the knockouts.
The projected knockout tree, drawn the classical way. Watch nations meet, and watch them fall.